Do we feel like we’re moving? Explorations on subjective social mobility in Argentina.
The Future of Social Mobility
2025-12-03
Why subjective social mobility?
Subjective mobility in Latin America (I)
World Values Survey: direct question on subjective mobility
- 4 out of 10 people report having improved compared to their parents
- Venezuela, Argentina and Ecuador are the countries with the lowest levels of upward subjective mobility
- Brazil, Peru, Mexico and Chile are the countries with the highest levels of upward subjective mobility
Subjective mobility in Latin America (II)
Latinobarómetro: indirect question on subjective mobility
- 1 out of 4 people report having improved compared to their parents
- Social reproduction predominates
- Nicaragua, Colombia and Venezuela are the countries with the lowest levels of upward subjective mobility
- Chile, Bolivia and Brazil are the countries with the highest levels of upward subjective mobility
Subjective mobility in Argentina (I)
| Modelo 1 | Modelo 2 | |
|---|---|---|
| (Intercept) | 0.46 *** (0.18) | 0.32 *** (0.27) |
| movilidad_objetiva2Ascenso | 0.65 * (0.14) | 0.74 (0.16) |
| movilidad_objetiva2Reproducción | 0.83 (0.14) | 1.11 (0.16) |
| cohorte1960 | 1.37 (0.20) | 1.46 (0.22) |
| cohorte1970 | 1.52 (0.21) | 1.48 (0.22) |
| cohorte1980 | 1.01 (0.19) | 0.91 (0.21) |
| cohorte1990 | 0.81 (0.19) | 0.68 (0.21) |
| cohorte2000 | 0.97 (0.25) | 1.16 (0.27) |
| generoWoman | 1.51 ** (0.12) | 1.39 * (0.13) |
| clase_subjetivaMedia alta | 0.02 *** (1.44) | |
| clase_subjetivaMedia | 0.60 * (0.23) | |
| clase_subjetivaMedia baja | 1.85 ** (0.23) | |
| clase_subjetivaObrera | 1.37 (0.24) | |
| explicacion_movMixto | 2.62 *** (0.13) | |
| explicacion_movEstructural | 2.51 ** (0.27) | |
| desigualdadAlgo desigual | 0.42 *** (0.14) | |
| desigualdadPoco / nada desigual | 0.71 (0.21) | |
| N | 1359 | 1345 |
| AIC | 1689.06 | 1504.51 |
| BIC | 1735.99 | 1592.98 |
| Pseudo R2 | 0.03 | 0.20 |
| All continuous predictors are mean-centered and scaled by 1 standard deviation. The outcome variable is in its original units. Standard errors are heteroskedasticity robust. *** p < 0.01; ** p < 0.05; * p < 0.1. | ||
| Modelo 1 | Modelo 2 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| (Intercept) | 0.26 *** | (0.27) | 0.18 *** | (0.33) |
| clase_encuestado5Directivo-profesional | 0.33 *** | (0.29) | 0.62 | (0.32) |
| clase_encuestado5Técnico-administrativo | 0.66 | (0.22) | 0.99 | (0.24) |
| clase_encuestado5Pequeño propietario | 1.07 | (0.22) | 1.42 | (0.24) |
| clase_encuestado5Obrero calificado | 0.79 | (0.21) | 0.99 | (0.23) |
| clase_origen5Directivo-profesional | 2.51 *** | (0.24) | 3.37 *** | (0.27) |
| clase_origen5Técnico-administrativo | 2.03 ** | (0.19) | 1.84 ** | (0.21) |
| clase_origen5Pequeño propietario | 1.98 ** | (0.20) | 1.92 ** | (0.21) |
| clase_origen5Obrero calificado | 1.96 ** | (0.19) | 1.86 ** | (0.20) |
| cohorte1960 | 1.52 | (0.21) | 1.49 | (0.22) |
| cohorte1970 | 1.58 | (0.21) | 1.46 | (0.23) |
| cohorte1980 | 1.04 | (0.20) | 0.91 | (0.22) |
| cohorte1990 | 0.83 | (0.19) | 0.68 | (0.21) |
| cohorte2000 | 1.04 | (0.25) | 1.27 | (0.27) |
| generoWoman | 1.53 ** | (0.12) | 1.40 * | (0.13) |
| clase_subjetivaMedia alta | 0.02 *** | (1.45) | ||
| clase_subjetivaMedia | 0.51 ** | (0.25) | ||
| clase_subjetivaMedia baja | 1.58 | (0.23) | ||
| clase_subjetivaObrera | 1.29 | (0.25) | ||
| explicacion_movMixto | 2.58 *** | (0.14) | ||
| explicacion_movEstructural | 2.45 ** | (0.27) | ||
| desigualdadAlgo desigual | 0.42 *** | (0.14) | ||
| desigualdadPoco / nada desigual | 0.71 | (0.21) | ||
| N | 1359 | 1345 | ||
| AIC | 1667.77 | 1496.41 | ||
| BIC | 1745.98 | 1616.11 | ||
| Pseudo R2 | 0.07 | 0.22 | ||
| All continuous predictors are mean-centered and scaled by 1 standard deviation. The outcome variable is in its original units. Standard errors are heteroskedasticity robust. *** p < 0.01; ** p < 0.05; * p < 0.1. | ||||
| Ascenso vs Reproducción | Descenso vs Reproducción | |
|---|---|---|
| nobs | 1345 | 1345 |
| edf | 34.00 | 34.00 |
| deviance | 2426.49 | 2426.49 |
| AIC | 2494.49 | 2494.49 |
| nobs.1 | 1345.00 | 1345.00 |
| All continuous predictors are mean-centered and scaled by 1 standard deviation. The outcome variable is in its original units. Standard errors are heteroskedasticity robust. *** p < 0.01; ** p < 0.05; * p < 0.1. | ||
McFadden
0.09873288 